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Author House Price Crash
James
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Registered: 1st Jun 02
Location: Surrey
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18th Apr 07 at 18:26   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Do you think house prices are going to crash any time soon?

I dont understand the economy enough to have a valid opinion but I was wondering what others thought.
whitter45
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Registered: 15th Nov 02
Location: Norton
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18th Apr 07 at 18:34   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

no if anyhting they will increase only slightly as demand is much higher then supply at present

the interest rate rise was done to reduce the increase in house prices and to encourage saving

They will not go down IMO but I may be wrong
Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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18th Apr 07 at 18:38   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Nah, the speed that they get snapped up around here I dont think they will ever crash......its out of control!!!
Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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18th Apr 07 at 18:39   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Although with interest rates going up you might find that some of the more expensive houses will drop in price, once folk cant manage the mortgage & need to get out quick!!
topshot_2k
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Registered: 1st Dec 03
Location: Northampton Drives: Pug GTi-6
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18th Apr 07 at 20:01   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

wont crash

Demand is still huge here, most 2 beds are gone in a week and i know many of my mates/work mates all looking but cant get any.
Matt H
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Registered: 11th Sep 01
Location: South Yorkshire
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18th Apr 07 at 20:13   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

IT happened a few years back did it not?

The type of thing that would cause it would be home owners that can no longer afford to own a home

Eg

Mr x buys a house. Has 1k coming in a month & £750 going out for house & bill payments

Bills gradually go up along with interest rates

Creeps up from £750 to £850, £950 £1050 etc etc

He can no longer afford to own the house & it gets repossesed. Foobarred for money & bad credit rating

Imagine that on a grander scale. Lots of peoples houses up for sale. More on the market - lower the prices

Well, sort of like that anyway
corb
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Registered: 24th Apr 02
Location: Calgary, Alberta, Canada
User status: Online
18th Apr 07 at 20:27   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

New law comes out in the next few weeks re. having to have some survey done on the house before sale. LOTS of houses will have to be taken off sale as they havent got this done. When that happens, house prices, in theory, will rocket. Maybe they'll stay up after that point, maybe they'll drop back down once people get their surveys done and market has properties back up for sale again.
AK
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Registered: 5th Jul 00
Location: Aberdeen City
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18th Apr 07 at 20:42   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

With the interests rates set to rise by quite a lot, it could be that some people hold off buying just now as they simply won't be able to afford the increase in mortgage monthly payments.

I doubt it though....
Bram
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Registered: 25th Mar 02
Location: Derby
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18th Apr 07 at 20:56   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Have property prices ever crashed? No

Are they likely to crash? No

Part ownership scheme looks like the only way for me to invest
James
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Registered: 1st Jun 02
Location: Surrey
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18th Apr 07 at 21:10   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

quote:
Originally posted by Bram
Have property prices ever crashed? No

Are they likely to crash? No

Part ownership scheme looks like the only way for me to invest


I looked into part ownership stuff, there are hardly any properties available that offer it and you will be lucky to be applicable.
Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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18th Apr 07 at 21:20   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

If there is a crash it will only effect the top end of the market, with the chance lower cost housing will go up!!
Jules S
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Registered: 24th Dec 03
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18th Apr 07 at 22:33   View Garage View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

quote:
Originally posted by Bram
Have property prices ever crashed? No

Are they likely to crash? No





Google 'negative equity' and learn a BIG lesson

Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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18th Apr 07 at 22:40   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

But Jules, like I said, its only going to really affect the top end of the market, & I think will have an adverse reaction on the bottom end!!

House prices as a whole will not go down!!
Ian
Site Administrator

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Registered: 28th Aug 99
Location: Liverpool
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18th Apr 07 at 23:28   View Garage View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

It will affect those people without much equity in the house, ie. first time buyers or those who have mortgaged up to the value of the property.

This isn't the top of the market - if anything its the other end, plus any house where the owners haven't been so frugal on the secured borrowing.

Interest rates increasing will certainly mean people sell houses, no question of it. Perhaps not as many people as in the past when the rates went crazy and therefore supply very high but it will definately reduce prices if rates rise.

[Edited on 18-04-2007 by Ian]
topshot_2k
Banned

Registered: 1st Dec 03
Location: Northampton Drives: Pug GTi-6
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19th Apr 07 at 07:38   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

higher interest rates are only affecting the people buying 3-4-5 bed houses, first time buyers looking/buying over the last few months has crept up even though interest rates have risen.
--Dave--
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Registered: 17th Feb 04
Location: Essssseeeeex Drives: Black Supra TT
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19th Apr 07 at 09:02   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

i don't think their will ever be a 'crash' as such. House prices will continue to rise (albeit at different rates) for the forseeable future imo.

Purchased my place for £157k Dec 2005. Valued at £173k and sold 2 days later. Estate agents said we could of easily got £175k+
mwg
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Registered: 19th Feb 04
Location: South Lakes
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19th Apr 07 at 09:04   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

I wish they would crash. Not a hope in hell of buying a house anytime soon
mav
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Registered: 19th Jun 01
Location: Scotland
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19th Apr 07 at 09:36   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

I can't see prices crashing and will continue to rise but maybe not at such a rate we have seen over the last 5 years...
AK
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Registered: 5th Jul 00
Location: Aberdeen City
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19th Apr 07 at 09:39   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

house prices have crashed in the past.

and they will again in certain areas.... other areas are much more stable though.

Ally
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Registered: 2nd Jul 03
Location: Pontypool Drives: a Skoda
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19th Apr 07 at 09:54   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Been talks of crashes for ages but i cant see it happening, not in my area anyway when the houses are quite cheap
Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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19th Apr 07 at 12:22   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

quote:
Originally posted by AK
house prices have crashed in the past.

and they will again in certain areas.... other areas are much more stable though.




House prices in Dundee & Aberdeen are up 20% on the 1st 1/4 of 2006
Twiggy
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Registered: 15th Oct 04
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25th Apr 08 at 23:22   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

anymore opinions 12mths on?
Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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26th Apr 08 at 00:05   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Apparently Englands housing boom has slowed right down, Scotlands still moving upwards as per previous years & reposessions have doubled on 12 months ago.

Things are going to remain grim until the banks recover, until then prices ar going to remain static, less people will be buying & this will have a knock on effect. Its probably a good time to pick up a bargain if your in the right place at the right time & have some capital.
John
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Registered: 30th Jun 03
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26th Apr 08 at 13:59   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Talks of price crashes are generated solely by the media.
Colin
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Registered: 4th Apr 02
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26th Apr 08 at 15:01   View User's Profile U2U Member Reply With Quote

Yep the media has control of everything!!

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